Economics Weekly: What Is the Equity Risk Premium Telling Us About Future Returns?

Friday, May 10, 2019

With the recent spike in equity market volatility and what will undoubtedly be more to come as we push further into the even later stages of the economic recovery, we thought it useful to get a longer-term perspective of the stock market through the lens of the Equity Risk Premium (ERP). Hence, in this week's Economics Weekly, we examine the current readings on the ERP and what it might be telling us with regard to both investors' current growth expectations and potential future equity market returns.

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Richard de Chazal, CFA is a London-based macroeconomist covering the U.S. economy and financial markets.

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